The Super Cyclonic Storm ‘AMPHAN’ (pronounced as UM-PUN) over Westcentral and adjoining central parts of South Bay of Bengal moved nearly northwards with a speed of 11 kmph during past 06 hours and lay centered at 1730 hrs IST of today, the 18th May 2020 near latitude 14.0°N and longitude 86.3 °E over Westcentral Bay of Bengal about 700 km nearly south of Paradip (Odisha), 860 km south-southwest of Digha (West Bengal) and 980 km south-southwest of Khepupara (Bangladesh).
It is very likely to move north-northeastwards across the northwest Bay of Bengal and cross West Bengal – Bangladesh coasts between Digha (West Bengal) and Hatiya Islands (Bangladesh) close to Sundarbans during the Afternoon / Evening of 20th May 2020 as an Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm with maximum sustained wind speed of 165-175 kmph gusting to 195 kmph.
Odisha
Coastal Odisha is likely to experience light to moderate rainfall at many places from tonight with heavy falls at isolated places over coastal Odisha (Gajapati, Ganjam, Puri, Jagatsinghpur & Kendrapara Districts) on 18th May 2020. Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy rainfall at a few places over north coastal Odisha (Jagatsinghpur, Kendrapara, Jajpur, Balasore, Bhadrak & Mayurbhanj Districts) and isolated heavy falls over Khordha & Puri districts on 19th May and isolated heavy rainfall over north Odisha (Bhadrak, Balasore, Mayurbhanj, Jajpur, Kendrapara and Keonjhar Districts) on 20th May 2020.
West Bengal
Coastal districts of Gangetic West Bengal (East Medinipur, South & North 24 Parganas) are likely to experience light to moderate rainfall at many places with heavy falls at isolated places on 19th May. Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at a few places & extremely heavy falls at isolated places likely over Gangetic West Bengal (east & west Medinipur, south & north 24 Parganas, Howrah, Hoogli, Kolkata and adjoining districts) on 20th May and isolated heavy rain over interior districts on 21st May 2020.
Sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim
Light to moderate rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at a few places over Malda & Dinajpur districts on 20th May and over most of the districts of Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim on 21st May 2020.
Assam & Meghalaya
Light to moderate rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at a few places over the western districts of Assam & Meghalaya on 21st May.
West Bengal & Odisha
Squally wind speed reaching 45 to 55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph is likely to commence along and off south Odisha coast from 18th evening, increase becoming 55 to 65 kmph gusting to 75 kmph extend to along & off north Odisha coast from 19th morning and along and off West Bengal coast from 19th afternoon.
The wind speed will gradually increase becoming gale wind speed reaching 75 to 85 kmph gusting to 95 kmph from 20th morning along and off north Odisha (Jagatsinghpur, Kendrapara, Bhadrak, Balasore and Mayurbhanj districts) and West Bengal (east & west Medinipur, south & north 24 Parganas, Howrah, Hoogli, Kolkata Districts). It will gradually increase thereafter becoming 110 to 120 kmph gusting to 135 kmph along & off the above-mentioned districts of North Odisha.
Gale wind speed reaching 165 to 175 kmph gusting to 195 kmph very likely along & off east Medinipur and north & south 24 Parganas districts and 100-110 kmph gusting to 120 kmph over Kolkata, Hoogli, Howrah and West Medinipur Districts of West Bengal during the time of landfall (20th afternoon tonight).
Squally wind speed reaching 55-65 kmph gusting to 75 kmph likely to prevail over Puri, Khordha, Cuttack, Jajpur districts of Odisha during 20th May 2020.
Deep-Sea area
Gale wind speed reaching 230-240 gusting to 265 kmph is prevailing over the west-central Bay of Bengal. It is likely to increase becoming 230-240 gusting to 265 kmph over northern parts of central Bay of Bengal and adjoining North Bay of Bengal from tonight to 19th May morning.
Gale wind speed reaching 200-210 gusting to 230 kmph over north Bay of Bengal from 19th morning and gradually decrease becoming 165-175 kmph gusting to 195 kmph by 20th evening.
The fishermen are advised not to venture into west-central and adjoining central parts of south Bay of Bengal during the next 24 hours, to the central Bay of Bengal on 19th May and into North Bay of Bengal during 19th to 20th May 2020.
Also, fishermen are advised not to venture into North Bay of Bengal along and off North Odisha, West Bengal and adjoining Bangladesh coasts during 18th to 20th May 2020.
Storm Surge of about 4-6 meters above Astronomical Tide is likely to inundate low lying areas of south & north 24 Parganas and about 3-4 meters over the low lying areas of East Medinipur District of West Bengal during the time of Landfall. (Figure enclosed)
Damage Expected:
Extensive damage to all types of kutcha houses, some damage to old badly managed Pucca structures. The potential threat from flying objects.
Extensive uprooting of communication and power poles.
Disruption of rail/road links at several places.
Extensive damage to standing crops, plantations, orchards.
Blowing down of Palm and coconut trees.
The uprooting of large bushy trees.
Large boats and ships may get torn from their moorings.
Fishermen Warning & Action Suggested:
Total suspension of fishing operations from 18th to 20th May 2020.
Diversion or suspension of rail and road traffic.
People in affected areas to remain indoors. Mobilize evacuation from Low lying areas.
Movement in motorboats and small ships not advisable.
Damage Expected:
Total destruction of thatched houses/ extensive damage to kutcha houses. The potential threat from flying objects.
Bending/ uprooting of power and communication poles.
Major damage to Kutcha and Pucca roads. Minor disruption of railways, overhead power lines, and signaling systems.
Widespread damage to standing crops, plantations, orchards, falling of green coconuts, and tearing of palm fronds. Blowing down of bushy trees like mango.
Small boats, country crafts may get detached from moorings.
Fishermen Warning & Action Suggested:
Total suspension of fishing operations from 18th to 20th May 2020.
Diversion or suspension of rail and road traffic.
People in affected areas to remain indoors.
Movement in motorboats and small ships not advisable.
It is very likely to move north-northeastwards across the northwest Bay of Bengal and cross West Bengal – Bangladesh coasts between Digha (West Bengal) and Hatiya Islands (Bangladesh) close to Sundarbans during the Afternoon / Evening of 20th May 2020 as an Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm with maximum sustained wind speed of 165-175 kmph gusting to 195 kmph.
| Albert area: West Bengal and north Odisha coasts caption |
- Heavy rainfall Warning:
Odisha
Coastal Odisha is likely to experience light to moderate rainfall at many places from tonight with heavy falls at isolated places over coastal Odisha (Gajapati, Ganjam, Puri, Jagatsinghpur & Kendrapara Districts) on 18th May 2020. Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy rainfall at a few places over north coastal Odisha (Jagatsinghpur, Kendrapara, Jajpur, Balasore, Bhadrak & Mayurbhanj Districts) and isolated heavy falls over Khordha & Puri districts on 19th May and isolated heavy rainfall over north Odisha (Bhadrak, Balasore, Mayurbhanj, Jajpur, Kendrapara and Keonjhar Districts) on 20th May 2020.
West Bengal
Coastal districts of Gangetic West Bengal (East Medinipur, South & North 24 Parganas) are likely to experience light to moderate rainfall at many places with heavy falls at isolated places on 19th May. Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at a few places & extremely heavy falls at isolated places likely over Gangetic West Bengal (east & west Medinipur, south & north 24 Parganas, Howrah, Hoogli, Kolkata and adjoining districts) on 20th May and isolated heavy rain over interior districts on 21st May 2020.
Sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim
Light to moderate rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at a few places over Malda & Dinajpur districts on 20th May and over most of the districts of Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim on 21st May 2020.
Assam & Meghalaya
Light to moderate rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at a few places over the western districts of Assam & Meghalaya on 21st May.
- Wind warning
West Bengal & Odisha
Squally wind speed reaching 45 to 55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph is likely to commence along and off south Odisha coast from 18th evening, increase becoming 55 to 65 kmph gusting to 75 kmph extend to along & off north Odisha coast from 19th morning and along and off West Bengal coast from 19th afternoon.
The wind speed will gradually increase becoming gale wind speed reaching 75 to 85 kmph gusting to 95 kmph from 20th morning along and off north Odisha (Jagatsinghpur, Kendrapara, Bhadrak, Balasore and Mayurbhanj districts) and West Bengal (east & west Medinipur, south & north 24 Parganas, Howrah, Hoogli, Kolkata Districts). It will gradually increase thereafter becoming 110 to 120 kmph gusting to 135 kmph along & off the above-mentioned districts of North Odisha.
Gale wind speed reaching 165 to 175 kmph gusting to 195 kmph very likely along & off east Medinipur and north & south 24 Parganas districts and 100-110 kmph gusting to 120 kmph over Kolkata, Hoogli, Howrah and West Medinipur Districts of West Bengal during the time of landfall (20th afternoon tonight).
Squally wind speed reaching 55-65 kmph gusting to 75 kmph likely to prevail over Puri, Khordha, Cuttack, Jajpur districts of Odisha during 20th May 2020.
Deep-Sea area
Gale wind speed reaching 230-240 gusting to 265 kmph is prevailing over the west-central Bay of Bengal. It is likely to increase becoming 230-240 gusting to 265 kmph over northern parts of central Bay of Bengal and adjoining North Bay of Bengal from tonight to 19th May morning.
Gale wind speed reaching 200-210 gusting to 230 kmph over north Bay of Bengal from 19th morning and gradually decrease becoming 165-175 kmph gusting to 195 kmph by 20th evening.
- Sea condition: Sea condition is Phenomenal and is likely to continue for the next 24 hours over southern parts of Westcentral Bay of Bengal. It will become Phenomenal over northern parts of central Bay of Bengal and adjoining north Bay of Bengal on 19th May and over north Bay of Bengal on 20th May 2020.
- Fishermen Warning
The fishermen are advised not to venture into west-central and adjoining central parts of south Bay of Bengal during the next 24 hours, to the central Bay of Bengal on 19th May and into North Bay of Bengal during 19th to 20th May 2020.
Also, fishermen are advised not to venture into North Bay of Bengal along and off North Odisha, West Bengal and adjoining Bangladesh coasts during 18th to 20th May 2020.
- Storm Surge expected
Storm Surge of about 4-6 meters above Astronomical Tide is likely to inundate low lying areas of south & north 24 Parganas and about 3-4 meters over the low lying areas of East Medinipur District of West Bengal during the time of Landfall. (Figure enclosed)
- Damage Expected and Action suggested
- West Bengal (East Medinipur, south & north 24 Parganas, Howrah, Hoogli, Kolkata districts)
Damage Expected:
Extensive damage to all types of kutcha houses, some damage to old badly managed Pucca structures. The potential threat from flying objects.
Extensive uprooting of communication and power poles.
Disruption of rail/road links at several places.
Extensive damage to standing crops, plantations, orchards.
Blowing down of Palm and coconut trees.
The uprooting of large bushy trees.
Large boats and ships may get torn from their moorings.
Fishermen Warning & Action Suggested:
Total suspension of fishing operations from 18th to 20th May 2020.
Diversion or suspension of rail and road traffic.
People in affected areas to remain indoors. Mobilize evacuation from Low lying areas.
Movement in motorboats and small ships not advisable.
- Odisha (Jagatsinghpur, Kendrapara, Bhadrak, Balasore, Jajpur & Mayurbhanj)
Damage Expected:
Total destruction of thatched houses/ extensive damage to kutcha houses. The potential threat from flying objects.
Bending/ uprooting of power and communication poles.
Major damage to Kutcha and Pucca roads. Minor disruption of railways, overhead power lines, and signaling systems.
Widespread damage to standing crops, plantations, orchards, falling of green coconuts, and tearing of palm fronds. Blowing down of bushy trees like mango.
Small boats, country crafts may get detached from moorings.
Fishermen Warning & Action Suggested:
Total suspension of fishing operations from 18th to 20th May 2020.
Diversion or suspension of rail and road traffic.
People in affected areas to remain indoors.
Movement in motorboats and small ships not advisable.
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